Politically High-Tech
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Politically High-Tech
241- Ken Good Discusses Crime Trends and Election Impacts
Can progressive policies and bail reforms be blamed for rising crime rates? Listen as we unpack the complexities of public safety with Ken Good, an expert in bail law from Tyler, Texas. This episode covers a wide-ranging discussion on the current state of crime from 2022 to 2024, examining the controversial impacts of bail reforms and the public's growing discontent. Ken sheds light on how issues like abortion have dominated recent elections, diverting attention from the escalating crime rates that are causing concern among citizens and political figures alike, including Mayor Adams of New York.
We also take a deep dive into the unpredictable world of politics, drawing intriguing comparisons between today's political climate and the turbulent 1960s. Our analysis highlights the cyclical nature of public opinion, the importance of local elections, and the surprising outcomes of past political endorsements and polling discrepancies. We discuss Donald Trump's unorthodox campaign strategies and the rhetoric that continues to stir political tensions, offering insights into how these elements might shape future elections.
In our final segment, we critique the role of media bias and the growing political disillusionment stemming from rising urban crime rates. We discuss the Oakland NAACP's recent call for a state of emergency, the impacts of immigration policies, and the decline in urban commercial property values. By scrutinizing Kamala Harris's vague policy stance and the media's failure to demand specifics, we aim to uncover the broader societal issues at play. Don't miss our comprehensive discussion on the shifting views towards stricter drug policies and the critical role crime will play in the upcoming elections.
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Episode 106
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Welcome everyone to Politically High Tech with your host, elias. We gotta guess that's from the past. Oh, yeah, we are going back. And for the urban listeners, you know throwback. Yes, we are going back, we are going back. I'm going like way back, like episode 106, june 2022. Yeah, over two years ago. Yeah, you know, I don't mind great guests coming back, you know.
Speaker 1:As he reached out to me, I said, oh, I remember that name, that's familiar. We talked about good stuff for crime. I said, yeah, he's kind of like my resident crime expert, unofficially speaking, appreciate that. And, like I said, I generally agree because when it comes to crime, I generally favor the right. Even when I was a moderate registered democrat, I sided with the right because they just made more sense.
Speaker 1:I'm not about cruelty, whatever, but there is accountability. I mean, look what, what happened? These bail reforms? It's a joke.
Speaker 1:Even some, even certain dems and a lot of moderates saying what the heck is going on? What was your stupid policies you push, which to me, was utterly ridiculous. I was against it from day one. People said, oh, you cruel, you'll sell out to the white supremacist system. I said, oh, shut up, I'm far from that. But if you want to believe that. Drink the kool-aid. Go right ahead. I'm not gonna change your mind just because you feel that way. I don't care about your feelings, I really don't. Um, you know, certain right-winger people say that, but when you catch them in their bs, oh, their feelings popped up. But not true republican voters. They're different, I'm told. Like the commentators some of them, I I'm very critical of ben shapiro.
Speaker 1:Yeah, I named one, uh, social, certain issues I strongly disagree with him on. But I'm not going to talk about Ben Shapiro, none of that. We're going to talk about the state of crime, comparing relatively 2022, beginning of 2023, if you want, to 2024. As things gotten better. Before I dive into that, let's reintroduce this guest for those of you who are loyal and follow me, and then for the new listeners as well. All right, let's bring back ken good, introduce yourself to my returning new listeners and viewers well.
Speaker 2:Thank you so much for having. My name is ken. I'm an attorney from tyler texas. I specialize in bail law.
Speaker 2:I've written many, numerous articles on crime and what good and bad bail reform looks like, and I would say probably the most important thing to know about me is I'm married, I'm a father of two daughters and so I'm a girl dad and I think that tells you a lot about me, just from that alone. Whatever my kids have been active in growing up, that's what I've been active in and supporting them. I mean, I used to tell my daughter that I worked in the band session stand just to show her I loved her and she thought I was going to continue to do that after she graduated from high school. And I'm like I don't love you that much, that much, but I have, you know, we have a lot to talk about today on what's going on with bad bail reform across the country, and there's been a lot of things going on. I would call it the last couple of years the years of rollbacks. So we're rolling back all these bad reforms that we've seen enacted across the country.
Speaker 1:I think that's a great theme, especially those who are that realize these progressive policies have done a lot of damage, even for their intended voters and audience. Right, I mean, without safety, how are you going to do business, how are you going to improve quality of life, how are you going to have these green spaces, some even some of the things that that more left-leaning people want? How are you going to have that if you can't establish some level of order, law and order, public safety and all of that, right? I mean? We talked about before about how businesses were shutting down and even if they could recover, they chose not to because it wouldn't make sense, it was unsafe.
Speaker 2:Well, you've got Mayor Adams in New York, who's a Democrat, but he's fighting crime. But he's fighting crime, and he was on a blog or a podcast arguing against somebody that I would describe as far left, and the point he made was look, one of the foundations of our society is public safety, and if the government can't provide public safety, then you're not going to have a society, and I think that's really true.
Speaker 1:It should be true. True, I don't know why we're debating about this. This is a fundamental thing. I mean, this is the thing that actually frustrates me personally. I said listen, when you, when you don't care about safety, you have, you know, the sadly the the poorer people. I'm not gonna just don't mind mind, I'm gonna to put a better umbrella. The disadvantaged will be severely impacted. That's the umbrella term we use the disadvantaged will be severely impacted.
Speaker 2:Well, you know two years ago, you know, we were thinking crime would be the deciding factor in the election and I think in the end it was for some races, but by and large it wasn't the big factor that we thought it would be, and probably for the second election in a row, abortion kind of negated any issue of crime and I would even say for the next few weeks we're going to be seeing a whole bunch of talking points about abortion again. And there was a new story out today that's been completely debunked, blaming someone's death on abortion policy, when actually their death was caused by, you know, the drugs that were given to her by an abortion clinic. And it's just, you know, a reaction to the ruling from the US Supreme Court to return the abortion issue to the state. And so we're going to see if this is now going to happen again for the third time in this election cycle. I mean at some point. I mean that's not going to be the determining factor. I think immigration may become a determining factor this time, and crime as well.
Speaker 2:You've got a major issue on the ballot in California. You know they did Prop 47, where they recategorized some felonies down to misdemeanors, including theft under $950. And then the prosecutors in our urban areas decided well, we're just not going to prosecute that anymore because that's just not fair. And so that's when we started having all this shoplifting $25,000 a day. So there's another proposition on the ballot for this November which doesn't really repeal Prop 47, but it's a major modification of it. You could in shorthand just say it repeals Prop 47. They're going to repeal Prop 47. That looks like it's a major modification of it. You could in shorthand just say it repeals Prop 47. They're going to repeal Prop 47. That looks like it's going to pass, probably pretty easily.
Speaker 2:But the thing I would point out is the legislature in California tried all the way up until the very last minute to give an alternative, to try to do a backdoor defeat to this new proposition, trying to quote unquote repeal Prop 47. And they finally abandoned it at the last minute because they couldn't get agreement on how to do it from the extremists on their side. Then you've got New York, where they've rolled back their bail reform three or four times now, and it's all because of crime. I would argue that in the last election the Republicans took over the House. As a result of New York, they had several elections that turned to the Republicans, and so I think that's what gave control of the House to the Republican Party. And you can even see, after the election, Nancy Pelosi was scolding New York for allowing crime to become a determinative issue in the Senate races. So it is impacting different elections across the country, and immigration policy is probably just as is going to impact this election almost as much as crime.
Speaker 1:Let's not forget the economy. That's another huge one that generally the republicans still have some advantage of the economy. Immigration, crime, abortion, that's the big democrat advantage. That's what's kind of sadly, even some of the races.
Speaker 2:Well, I'm going to predict right now if the if the democrats get elected I mean sorry, if the Republicans get elected suddenly all this data that's kind of shown, oh, we don't really have an economy as bad as we think. It is all that's going to be debunked and we're going to find suddenly that the economy is just really, really bad, and I think that that's going to come out. I mean I think we've had too much manipulation of the numbers when you have a revision of almost a million jobs. I mean I think we've we've we've had too much manipulation of the numbers when you have a revision of almost a million jobs, I mean months before an election, that tells you that you know there's been too much manipulation.
Speaker 1:Yeah, yeah, there's been a lot of if I want to be kind about a lot of conflicting reports. That's not a good thing, and that's the kindest way I could put it. Um, you know, and that does, you know, sad. There's a lot of people that are not economists by trade, so they're gonna fall for it or just disregard it because it's all this is too complicated.
Speaker 2:Well, it's another thing you know we get to we just have politics that has taken over too many different issues.
Speaker 2:I mean I agree crime should has always historically been something everybody agrees about. We should be safe. Suddenly, we don't have an agreement on crime, and you know we went through this same cycle in the 60s, and so we're seem to be repeating it, but we're going to worse extremes. So they're going to push to the left in the pendulum was too far because there was so much money and there was groups that were pushing to the left. So when we the push to the left in the pendulum was too far because there was so much money and there was groups that were pushing to left. So when we finally push to the right, which we're starting to see, it will be a very hard push to the right as well.
Speaker 1:Well, let's see. I mean it is, though I mean between when we last time talked about some of the midterms. Now we're up to the very big election. Everything is big when the presidential election is involved, but I always push this narrative that, look, president, is important, but local and state policy is even more important. That's what impacts your life, especially like crime. This particular issue right here, I would say, is even more important on those local and the state level.
Speaker 1:You know people pay attention, not just the president. I'll urge you pay more attention to local and state races as well. See what their position is on, just like crime, abortion, economy, whatever. Pay attention to that more. If you're tired, you want to tune out the presidency, I'm even okay with that. Pay attention to that more. If you're tired, you want to tune out the presidency, I'm even okay with that. Pay attention to your state and local elections, especially if it's campaign season this year. And if you want to be proactive, pay attention next year. And I deny the reason I say that because that's new york city. We're gonna be electing a different mayor and the progressives are out to get eric adams because you said they get clashed with them.
Speaker 2:They are out to get Eric Adams because you said they clash with him that they do not appreciate him bucking the party line in New York and they are going to punish him for doing that.
Speaker 1:Yeah, I mean this is going to be interesting. I mean, even after we're done with this presidential and the entire well, not the entire Congress, one third of the Senate and all of the house representative we got some local elections coming up things. It's not. It's it's a never-ending cycle, the only way you're gonna end your political participation, really. If you're dead, okay that's. I mean there are gonna be more. Be here. But it's true, just try to be active, especially early voting. There's less excuse for you not to vote, which I've been a proponent of that.
Speaker 2:Well, it's really going to be interesting to see if the polls are correct or whether the polls are really off. I mean, we've had some indications lately that there's something screwy going on. I mean, the Teamsters came out with an article today saying they weren't going to endorse a presidential candidate for the first time. But if you look in the body of what they were talking about, 58% of their membership was in favor of endorsing Trump. Less than I mean 30-something percent wanted to endorse Harris. And so, instead of going with the vast majority, they decided not to endorse anyone. Of going with the vast majority, they decided not to endorse anyone.
Speaker 2:And then you've got the press sending out reporters to different areas that are supposedly battleground states and they're going to restaurants to find supporters for both candidates. And I mean CNN was reporting yesterday that they went to multiple restaurants and they could only find one Harris supporter in each restaurant and they asked everybody there. I think the reporter said she asked everybody there but one guy that was, but except for one gentleman who was drunk. And so I mean you can't, I mean you, I mean the polls can't be correct in that limelight. But you know what, whenever I've said polls are wrong before they've been right. So it's going to be interesting, because in Trump's first election as president, polls were off three points. And if they're off three points, he wins by a landslide.
Speaker 1:Oh yeah, no, remember, remember. Oh my goodness, I'm going to go back to memory lane. Remember so many polls say Hillary is going to win. All these endorsers, hillary, hillary, Hillary. Trump has no chance. Look what happened he won. So I always say I never underestimate the opposition, and I did at the time. I was already. I was a Republican at that time, my last year being a Republican. Now I'm just an independent. I said don't underestimate Trump. He's going to get this election. I predict he's going to win. Look at the media coverage. It doesn't matter if it's good or bad. He's doing the art of the deal. Bad press is good press. I say this is what he's doing. This is what he's doing. You're not getting this, democrats, you're not getting this.
Speaker 2:And eventually he won well, there's several things that Trump's done that are unprecedented. I mean, you want to talk about the art of the deal. He negotiated an agreement with a Kennedy who was running as an independent candidate to withdraw and endorse him. I mean you would think that alone would make the election over, and then he was shot by an assassin in the ear. You would have thought, ok, the election's over after that. Well, now we've had a second attempted assassination. I mean, I mean we have 60 days out. I mean, how many more attempted assassinations can we have during that time period? Is the the the reason why it's happening?
Speaker 2:I'm like Trump isn't calling Harris a Hitler, she's not calling him a risk to democracy, and so that's all being done by the other side to Trump, and then they're blaming it on him. When someone takes what they said seriously and says, well, we can't have that, and so we must, we must try to get solve that issue. I mean that's, it's just incredible, but that's where we are. We are at the point where they can't acknowledge what they've done is lit a fuse to a firecracker, and so we're going to see. We're going to see pretty quickly. You know, if I look back in history, I would say this this race seems to be very similar and so we're going to see. We're going to see pretty quickly, up until right before the end, and if you've seen the Reagan movie that just came out, it even plays off of that, saying that there was something that Reagan said at the end of the debate are you better off today than you were four years ago, six years ago? And there's cuts to different scenes and people in the economy working, and then they're all agreeing with it.
Speaker 2:I question whether that was all true.
Speaker 2:I mean, you know, I mean I lived back in that time period when Trump I mean when Reagan was running against Carter and it was.
Speaker 2:I mean it just didn't seem close. And so I think in politics you have periods of time where you have push polls being pushed, where they're trying to get the public to a position, and especially now, since we've changed the Democratic candidate, it seems like we've gone through that push poll period longer than we normally would have, because that usually is a primary device that's used to try to get the public pushed towards one primary candidate over the others, the people that have more money, and so I don't, I mean I'm questioning whether that's what's going on. Right now we still are in a push-pull type period. When you've got one candidate who refuses to talk about issues, it's kind of hard to say we agree with anything that they say when they say nothing. So you would you would expect maybe this is a late swing election, but I question whether it really will be, because we have indications that it's not really been a late swing and that there's all kinds of evidence that Trump has incredible support and that Harris is gone.
Speaker 1:Yeah, I mean, to me this is a very weird, weird race. Weird race. I mean, obviously I didn't live through the reagan era so I don't I don't even know what it's like. This is the first time for me, of course, but I did look at the reagan statistics. They were pretty impressive. I mean, I've never seen a modern presidential candidate won almost every single state with the exception of Minnesota.
Speaker 2:Yeah, yes, and we'd like to say I mean that's not possible today. I don't believe. I don't believe there's any way that Trump could win California or New York. But you know, maybe he has a better chance of winning New York than we think he does. I do think that maybe even California is more competitive than we believe, because I think crime is a bigger issue in California.
Speaker 2:You know we've had some major rulings in the last, since the last time we met. You know there was a case called Days versus Dallas County that went up to the Fifth Circuit and they ruled. You know the O'Donnell case, which is the case that influenced these policies and pushed them in the wrong direction. But the Fifth Circuit ruled en banc, which means it's the entire Fifth Circuit, like 15 or 16 judges. They all ruled that those two cases were wrongly decided, reversed them and decided they should have never been filed in federal court.
Speaker 2:So since the last time we talked, we've got the federal courts saying we're not going to get in this litigation, we're not going to allow advocates for change to use the courts, the federal courts, as lawfare against counties, and so and that went to the United States Supreme Court and the Supreme Court denied the petition for review, and so I'm hopeful that we're going to see that we're seeing the end of the federal courts getting in on these issues.
Speaker 2:That should give us more stability and that should push us back towards the legislature deciding these issues, and in these threats from these advocacy groups where they're just raising money for lawfare and I'm hoping that's what's going to happen, but we still have these groups affecting policy. So you know, the fight right now is we still have one party not even admitting that crime is increasing in our urban areas. They're just saying no, it's a Republican talking point. And I'm like when you've got the Oakland NAACP calling for a state of emergency because of crime in their city it's not a Republican talking point, it's a real issue and I think that's seeping through at this point.
Speaker 1:Yeah, I mean you've just got to see through. I mean you're going to just lie and batter that same lie. So much, right. I mean I hope I don't know. But then again I'm kind of cynical because I don't see some people just learning. They're just so brainwashed. Some people I mean I've talked to people I know I mean some of them are just so brainwashed Democrat. I mean I had to correct one of them right now. I said no, no, no, no, no, no. Sir Biden's still president. You can't just throw him off to say he's still got a couple of months left. You love Kamala that much, great. But no, no, no, I don't correct. No, no, no. I tolerate enough of your partisan talking points. No, now you're trying to alter reality. No, no, no, no, no. Biden is still president, whether you like it or not, and he's going to be there until sometime in January. Ok, that's it. That's fine. There's no political talking point. This is facts. Now be quiet. And this gentleman was twice my age, severely brainwashed. He drank the blue pill very deeply.
Speaker 2:yeah oh, you wait the day after the election. Biden will pardon his son I mean his sentencing in the most recent things, not even till after the election. So as soon, as soon as the election's over, biden's gonna pardon hunter. Uh, and you know, even though he promised he would never do it, but you know, no one believed him when he said it and as soon as the election's over he will do that.
Speaker 2:And the problem I have with the national election is nobody will push Harris on her policies. I mean right now. I mean she's done a few interviews but she refuses to state her policy. She's just Sally Sunshine. Everything's going to be great. If you elect me, I'm a happy person. So elect me, we can. We can address this. Well, what's your policy? How are you different from Biden?
Speaker 2:And I think they've made a concerted decision that if she talks about policies, she's going to start looking bad for her, because they are already starting to show that her lines that she's using are the same lines from the debate, from the first press interview she did to the most recent one she did. I mean it's the same line, verbatim. I mean it's like she's a puppet. I mean she's a. She's a. You know, somebody's pulling her strings and she has only.
Speaker 2:You know, she's a one trick pony. She only has this one line that she's going to say in response to this question, and it's the same line over and over and over and it doesn't address the issue. I mean, we've got people asking her what two things would you do differently? And on this, on the issue of immigration, oh, we are a great country, we should be. I mean, they ask you a specific question. Nobody, but nobody, wants to take her off script and come back and say I asked you a question about what two things would you do. Can you answer that question? That will never be asked because the press has decided that they're going to look the other way because they hate Trump so much yeah, that's true.
Speaker 1:I've been calling out the bias of the media. I said, listen, the republicans have the right to call the bias of the media. I mean, don't get me wrong, I don't like fox media either. I'm not giving them a pass either, but it'd be nice just to have a more fair, tough media across the board. Won't be perfectly clear. But no, it's not. It's clearly biased, it's corporate, they're pushing a skewed agenda and I said this is this is why, to some extent, the Republicans are looking real good and look like legitimate victims, because you push coverage that skews to the left. And it's true. I mean that's why I like coverage that's more independent. Give me facts. I mean, the closest thing I could push is News Nation. Give me facts.
Speaker 2:I mean the closest thing I could push is like NewsNation. That's the one. Look at the debate we just had between Trump and Harris. I mean you know the analogy I saw was oh, rotten tomatoes. You have the critics and then you have the audience members and they were saying you know, the critics were panning Trump saying worst performance ever, declared her the victory and then then the public, the audience, weighed in on what they thought, and I think that's probably pretty true with what's going on.
Speaker 2:I mean you know you can bring all these issues back down to crime and immigration, because those are so intertwined. So much of our crime increases because of the illegal immigration that's being allowed to come through the borders and you know they're not willing to do that. I mean it's kind of amazing that currently we're you know the decision has been made by somebody that we're going to belittle and try to make jokes about Trump, about dogs and cats being eaten by immigrants, instead of recognizing that we've got serious problems with the number of immigrants that are being taken to a specific area and they don't have the resources to provide for them, and we're just ignoring that in favor of making jokes. The increased crime is being disregarded because of this immigration policy and that's what we're really seeing now. These two things are really conflating to make crime a serious issue, especially in our urban areas. Since we last talked, we've got commercial buildings in San Francisco selling for 30% of what they sold for several years before, or 50% of what they sold for Now. We've got commercial buildings the default rate going from 5% to 40%. I mean, that's in San Francisco.
Speaker 2:That's because of these policies, these bad pal policies, where we suddenly were making things not crimes anymore, or we're doing these catch and release, simple release mechanism systems where no one is required to go to court or, you know, if they don't, then we're just putting their case on hold and we have like an 80% failure to curate misdemeanors in California. When I say that number, you just go. That can't be right. Well, when the DA from Yolo County is on my podcast, the bell post, saying that's what the failure to appear rate is for all misdemeanors across the state of California because they use simple release mechanism systems, then you know that the system is being played because they have a deadline on getting cases resolved in misdemeanor court. So if you don't show up and don't come back, they can't make you, and if they don't do it by the deadline, they just dismiss your case.
Speaker 2:I mean, how else can you play the system? And they're playing it because they won't build more capacity for their prisons and the federal courts have capped how many people they can put in their jail. So when they talk about all these things we're doing to make you feel safer, it's all a lie. It's just to decrease their prison population because they don't have the spine to build additional capacity. And then in New York it's just politics and we're seeing these things come back and bite people in the butt.
Speaker 1:And now people are realizing it yeah, I mean, this is my, this is my fear with the american public and the media. I mean, the covid thing didn't I didn't fear as much is the massive authoritarians and sadly ignorant people. This came to fear and divisiveness. That was my biggest fear. Not not this virus itself, even though it killed a lot of people. But you know, and I think, um, it's safe to say I can say for New York city, things have not gotten better.
Speaker 1:I have to be 10 times more vigilant. Walking down the street just to get to my job, I gotta, I gotta. You know, I don't really look around like I'm a nut sometimes to make sure that I ain't getting bumped into or stabbed, shot, what have you? I'm not being dramatic. This is serious. Especially going to Manhattan, I'd rather stay in my little humble borough that's next to it. I want to say, for you know it's poorer because I mean it got crime there, but at least I know those people and I know their patterns. Compared to the rotting apple I call it, it's still rotting, it stinks, it's invested with crime, it's rich in crime, it's rich in decay.
Speaker 2:Who are these policies hurting the worst? They're hurting our poorest communities the worst, because when crime increases, it increases quicker in our poor communities the worst, because when crime increases, it increases quicker in our poor communities. And so I would argue that these people, it's all politics when they say that they're wanting to help, you know, certain minority groups in our community, when they ignore the fact and then they make jokes about you or they demonize you because you point out that those same racial groups have higher crime rates as a result and that they're the ones that are being negatively impacted the most from these policies. They just ignore it. And that's how you know that these policies are just politics and not trying to improve the system.
Speaker 1:No, yeah, absolutely so. I think it's safe to say the backlog is not, the situation's not getting any better, depending on what county, of course, because I think just making a blanket statement just shows ignorance and stupidity on my part. I'm sure those states and counties that focus on crime, they're doing their part, and those who are just playing politics, like you said, situation ain't getting any better. Dismiss, dismiss, dismiss. There's a per what? Prevent the overwhelm?
Speaker 2:Yeah, prevent the system from collapsing because of the weight of the backlog. I mean, you've got some state areas that have improved. Texas has enacted some what I call good bail reform and, as I would say, probably a backlash to all these bad policies that have been enacted. But Harris County, which is Houston, texas, third largest county in the country, they enacted a DA who was, you know, soros progressive and they saw the light and, you know, started being more moderate, and so they got defeated in the primary by another Soros elected DA who is now got the inside track for being elected in November.
Speaker 2:And if he gets elected, you know we're going to have more crime in Houston, harris County, not less. Because he has said oh well, soros isn't a bad guy, I think he just gets a bad rap, I think he's a good guy. Well, you know, when you get elected by him, he gives you quid pro quo this is what I need. You're not going to. You're not going to seek enhancements on crimes anymore. You're not going to. You know you're not going to prosecute a drug dealer for the 30 pounds of meth he's holding, you're just going to prosecute him as a possession of drugs. So that's two weeks in jail instead of 20 years. And you know, to our drug dealers they think two weeks is the cost of doing business.
Speaker 2:So you know these policies. When we tie the hands of our judges in these bad areas, you know we're tying them to protect the poor, supposedly, but we're also tying them so that they can't address gangs, they can't address criminals and they can't address organized crime. And you know who's setting up and noticing that? Those same groups. And so they have figured out ways to make money, hand over fist, and they will continue to do it as long as we, the public, the politicians, allow them to.
Speaker 2:What we're seeing is a pushback. We're starting to see that across the country where they're saying this isn't right anymore. But the best example of it was, you know, the, the protests we saw in May at our college campuses. The criminal justice element, the law enforcement, come in and arrest them. But we still see the remnants of the effect or the impact of the Soros elected DAs, where they gradually just dismissed all of the cases, and we're sending them the message hey, when you go back to school, go back and do all these protests. The only reason why we're not seeing more of these protests right now is because the Democrats have gone to them and said, wait till after the election.
Speaker 1:I mean people pay attention to timing in politics. It reveals a lot, I think, especially presidential years things are crazier than normal and they kind of calm down a little bit and they bump up in midterm and then they calm down a little bit. One of my favorite he's like a moderate left friend. He's very smart and I agree with his analysis that you have no things go like up and down, up and down, up and down. And this is 2024, this is an even, this is a even number presidential election. So things are going to get more crazy than usual. I think to your point.
Speaker 1:With the student protests, I was kind of. I was kind of look, I as much as I support protests, what I don't support is destruction and causing hell for normal people. That's not a protest, that's cause. That is disturbing peace and that's even riot. That's. Remember the difference. I hate that mostly peaceful protest phrase. It's such a cop-out. It's a cop-out I got to call it out. I mean, the right has used a little bit, but the left has used it much more as a stop, stop the bull crap. Well, I've seen people breaking to college campuses. Ok, just because of you know, free Palestine or whatever. No, you can have that opinion, that's fine, but I'm going to cause violence and hell and just graffiti and cause destruction, then no, no, you lost my sympathy. Right there I said no, I'm not supporting now, I'm not going to support that, I'm out.
Speaker 2:I mean, look at the look at harris's vice president presidential candidate. He's the governor of minnesota. He was there during the George Floyd riots. He said the reason why he did not call in the National Guard to stop all the burning and destruction of property is because he agreed with them, and so he allowed the tax base of his state and his urban cities to be completely destroyed and a lot of it has never been built back. Because why would you build back if you're not going to have the support of your local, uh, elected officials? If they're just going to allow that to take place, then you're not going to be able to get insurance and you're not going to be able uh, I mean, why would you ever do business in that area? And you're seeing that, you're seeing that that's what's happened and that area, and you're seeing that, you're seeing that that's what's happened. And so now they're trying to make him out to be a good old boy. And it couldn't be more stark. Do you want law enforcement? Do you want law and order? You've got one candidate and vice presidential candidate and it's clear who that is. And if you don't want that, then there's another candidate and vice presidential candidate with a history of that that are running. They may want to try to say I think here's where we are.
Speaker 2:We are now at the point where the Democrats are saying they're law and order, but they're not because they're scared of what's going to happen in the election. The next phase we go to will be they will become law and order again because the public is going to punish them at the polls. Is that going to be in a couple of months or is it going to be in two years? It's time for them to be taught a lesson. So I'm hopeful that it's in two months, but we'll see in two months. But it is coming. The reckoning is coming because what's going on is not sustainable and both of our parties historically have been law and order. They will be once again. But now we're in this little phase where both one party that's not and has four years of actions to show they're not, but now they're so scared of the polls they're claiming that they are show they're not.
Speaker 1:But now they're so scared of the polls they're claiming that they. I mean I'm going to use a more cynical hat here. I'm giving them two years. To be honest, I don't think change to come that quick. I'm sure it is. It is, I agree with you in general, but the time I'm gonna go towards the two years I'm I'm just gonna be honest and so I think, after the president, I think that's why people wake up, because a lot of people wake up after the fact, a lot of people react. If I have short-term memory loss and I agree whoever says that, and even at times I have short-term memory loss or something, that's why I research, try to prep before I talk about something. But that's not always possible. But you'll see, I mean I'm I am not that hopeful. Maybe maybe 2026 midterm. I'm sure this could be a big reckoning. That's, that's the timeline I'm generally giving. I mean I want you, I want you to be right. I really do my feelings. Going elsewhere, I'm a little self-conflicted.
Speaker 2:The more we hear about abortion over the next six weeks tells you that the more we hear about abortion over the next six weeks tells you that they are worried about the other issues. So they have to raise abortion. And I don't say abortion is not an important issue. But the courts have returned that to the states, so that's no longer a federal election issue. But they want to relitigate that because they want to say the court got it wrong. Well, the court got it right or they got it wrong, but they returned it to the states. And we've got nine states that are going to have abortion issues on the ballot. I don't think any of them are battleground states. I think maybe only, and if there is, it's only one. So I don't know if that by itself is going to impact the election. It'll bring out people to vote in those states, but if it's not a battleground state, I don't know if it's going to change that that result.
Speaker 1:I mean, I'm going to make a somewhat of a bold prediction. My belief is and this is a disclaimer, I could be wrong. I think Trump wins by narrow margins.
Speaker 2:I don't know. I mean, it's too crazy. I would say this If Trump was any other Republican, he wouldn't withstand. They could not withstand what Trump has been through. So if it was anyone else other than Trump, I would say the election's done. They probably wouldn't. They'd already be in jail with what they've done to him.
Speaker 2:But my concern is now that they've done this to Trump, just like when they take a new low against any other Republican candidate. That's the way they will treat any future Republican candidate. So these people that are saying oh, this is just Trump, you know, the next candidate would have won any other candidate, but Trump would have won easily. No, this is now the way that we have that. The other party will always treat Republicans Lawfare and we will always have them calling them the destruction of the democracy if they get elected. We can't just disagree with them. They have to be the devil themselves.
Speaker 2:Every president, every Republican president or candidate for president for the last 20 years has been referred to as Hitler. At some point you would think that it would wear off. You can't keep referring, but they keep doing it and so we're still going to have that and so it's going to get worse. Whatever they've done to Trump is what is the default for going forward. And so at some point we just have to say no, no, this isn't right. And so I'm going to vote for the Republican to prove to you that you're wrong.
Speaker 2:And you know, I encourage people right now that if you are concerned about crime in your area, there's only one party that's going to address that, and I know that we've got all these identity politics that they're trying to carve people up to. They tell you you can't vote for the other side because of your identity. But if you're against all this crime going on, then I say you should be a one single issue voter until we get both parties back to strong stalwarts against crime and we're not there yet. Until we get there, you should be a single-issue voter on crime you hear that pitch listeners, you heard it.
Speaker 1:If you're gonna focus on one thing, focus on crime, make it simple. Especially for those of you who are undecided, I will say vote for something is better than not voting at all. Okay, that's all I'm gonna say about that. I mean me, I have a good idea, I'm gonna vote, but I'm not gonna give you my guide because it's too complicated, it's too convoluted. But if you want a simple one, just copycat right there. Crime is important. There's a lot of single-issue voters. There's one just for abortion, there's one for the economy. The Republicans abortion's favorite Democrats. Crime well, they're favorite Republicans. Well, okay, what would favor Democrats? They've got to be a little more balanced. Hey, go bang on one, they'll just throw it in there. It's no longer the biggest issue because it's getting legalized just about everywhere.
Speaker 2:One of the unknown issues on that which has come up since the last time we talked, is the legal industry in California has crashed and it's been taken over by the illegal, by the cartels. And they're not only just doing it, making it where they are in Mexico and bringing it, they're bringing their whole operations into California because we've decriminalized marijuana, so they're not afraid of any of the criminal penalties anymore. So they not only bring their whole operations to California, they bring employees, people to work there through our open borders, immigration policy, and then they're just, they're doing their whole operations in, you know, national forests in California and they're not scared. They're not scared because we've decriminalized and they're not scared.
Speaker 1:They're not scared because we've decriminalized it. People, people, people. Look as much as I like to be pro that, but I was, but that was a sign of me. I was always concerned. I said, wait a minute. Once you start legalizing this, you're opening a can of worms. I mean, in New York City there were so many illegal shops. I mean this is not now. Now you say popping up like weeds, those unwanted weeds, one grow over there, one grow over there, one grow over there. They're growing in each block. It was ridiculous. I said no, no, the New York state could not legalize all these shops. Of course I was right. They only issued, I think, like a few thousand. It was like tens of thousands of them popping up. They, tens of thousands of them popping up. They were popping up like weeds.
Speaker 1:Police force was pretty overwhelmed with all the crackdown. I mean, oh man, oh man. As much as, sadly, I was pro-marijuana, but, yep, sadly, we should have had a secret police force taking down a cartel, maybe with some revisions, then it would have been all right. But you see, we have that. We have that's a multi-pronged plan. We can't just legalize it and then, oh, everything's gonna be okay and like, the weed is everywhere, kids smoking it and all this. Oh no, no, no, and that's what I was concerned about. That's always like a hesitant support. I said, yeah, I was supported, but you gotta address abcd. Of course they listen. They won't listen to people like me. It's too nuanced. Whatever, things will get better eventually. Well, we've got even.
Speaker 2:Oregon set aside all heavy drug use crimes. It's no longer a crime and we just have record numbers of overdoses every month in Portland. And so those laws have now expired. They weren't reenacted. So again, law and order has won out and they're finding that when you set aside all drug use because you know the argument was, when we legalize all heavy drugs, people will want to go to therapy, they'll want to get treatment and drug use will go down. It didn't. I mean we actually made it where. You know people were lining up every day for their pusher to come by and drop off their drugs and we're having record.
Speaker 2:I mean we're giving up on a generation because they're all killing themselves, killing themselves through overdoses, because we've lost the incentive for them to go to rehab, because the this incentive is you go to prison or you go to rehab and they go, oh well, I'm going to go to rehab, and then you know there's a 75 failure failure rate, so it's not going to be successful and it's very expensive and so, and so it's one of those things that you know reality is coming back and making an appearance. I mean we know how to fight crime. I mean we teach it in colleges, criminology on how to fight crime. For the last four or five years we've had these. We're going to go down this road and try this new thing.
Speaker 2:There's no study that says it works, other than one think tank doing a quote-unquote study for another think tank and everybody relying on it. There's no science saying these things work, and what do you know? Time is showing that they're not, and so I'm very hopeful on where we're going. You already see the rollbacks of these bad bail reform measures. You see reason coming back into the criminal justice system, but we still have outliers. I mean, you know Illinois is an outlier right now. Houston could be in the fall if Harris County elects a Soros DA, because we've got Soros DAs that are being defeated all over the country when people are going. We're not going to support this anymore, and so we still have a lot of work to do, but things, I think, are looking better.
Speaker 1:Yeah, when it comes to crime, I'm on the shame side with the right. And to be honest, look, if we legalization expires, you know what? What? I'm not going to be upset. We tried, it didn't work, the consequences were dire and it was a failure. But I'm just gonna be honest, it was a failure. It was a failure. I reluctantly gave it a shot. Look at that. So no, no more chances for me. I don't like to repeat the same mistakes. So the right has even won me over with marijuana now, and I gave the left a chance on that issue. I'm being honest. I gave them a chance. I said, okay, this is one of the issues I was agreeing with you with. No, but I'm leaning more to the right. Look what happened. We tried it. It failed. And if you still can't see it, well, you know what. You know what I believe in? Maybe forced rehab, do a prison-style forced rehab.
Speaker 2:Absolutely Make that work. Yeah, I mean, we gotta have a hammer.
Speaker 1:You know they don't have. Look when you lose your sense of reality, if you're mentally ill, no, the First Amendment and all that freedom, no, doesn't apply to you until you're restored, that's it. Don't give them a choice. You're restored, that's it. That's it. Don't give them a choice. Yeah, they don't. They're upstairs or shot? Yeah, go ahead, you know.
Speaker 2:I have a personal story there. I have a sister who had a car accident in 1989. And then for the next 30 years cause she broke every bone in her face and she had so many surgeries. She had a 30 year drug addiction to prescription medications. I mean 30-year drug addiction to prescription medications, I mean prescription painkillers.
Speaker 2:And I tried everything, even getting her put in jail, which you know, with these bad bail reforms where they don't hold anybody. You know, jail used to be the poor man's drug rehab. When we enact these policies where you can't keep anyone, well then you can't straighten out your loved ones when they're on drugs because you can't afford to send them to drug rehab. And you know, 30 years ago I could Well. I mean, let's fast forward 30 years later. I mean, I finally got control of my sister because I had her declared incompetent and I was declared her guardian and I put her in assisted living facility and her last five years of her life her medications were regulated. She didn't self-regulate, she had them given to her and they were probably, I think, some of her happiest years. But she had already alienated the rest of her family lost to overdose and all that so I can relate.
Speaker 1:I had to. Then I have to learn that at age 10 okay, very young I had to learn the harshness of reality at age 10. This is why I developed some hardened beliefs. You know, I didn't become like a full-blown left wing, because reality hits me probably too early. But you roll the dice. I'll say it end up not with a six, but with a five. So that's what I'm going to say.
Speaker 2:I think what got people finally had had enough on these organ laws where we're just going to decriminalize all this really hard crime. I think what pushed it too far was you know they started arguing well, you have a right to overdose if you want to, and I think that's a bridge too far. I mean you don't have a right to overdose. I mean we're going to open the door and say that you know we can't stop you from overdosing and that the government has to pay for your drugs to overdose. I mean that's too far. I mean I think the government has a right to provide public safety and if you're a danger to that through taking drugs and hard drugs, then the government has the right to say this is what we're going to do to you if you don't straighten up, and I think you have absolutely that power.
Speaker 1:No rights overdose. No Freedom comes with responsibility. We forgot that. A lot of us has forgotten that. Now we just want Limited freedom With no consequences. No, no, reality is setting in. Reality is setting in. You want to be irresponsible. You want to give the government a reason To take a lot more rights. Trust me, they will. They have done it Little by little and they're going to Keep doing it Until we are In an authoritarian nation. I don't care if you think I'm a nut. We're very slowly heading there as a nation, maybe vigilant and fight back against this nonsense. Okay, that's all I'm saying.
Speaker 2:I think that's a really good point to make, because when you've got one party saying the other party is a threat to democracy, I really I mean I sit there and I go. Are you arguing they're a threat to our country? Are you arguing that they're a threat to you continuing to be in power? Because one is a threat to you but it's not a threat to the country? And I would argue that a lot of things we're hearing out of one party is they're claiming the other one is a threat to the country, but they're really arguing, if you look at their arguments, that they're a threat to their continued rule. And I think that's very different. And you know what.
Speaker 2:A healthy democracy switches back and forth between the parties and we used to have a country that didn't have a problem with that. We used to have a country. When you know, if you lost, okay we lost. So we have two ways to get to the same result. The Republicans have a way to do it and the Democrats have a way to do it. Well, that's over. I mean, we haven't had that for probably a decade and we're not going to have it anytime soon.
Speaker 2:But hopefully we will correct that, because if we don't, you know, can you imagine if Trump gets reelected? To you know Harris, saying her election was stolen versus January 6th may be very different and then but but the reaction to it again will be major, very different. Because we had riots, we had things being burned when Trump was first elected and none of those people got arrested, None of them got treated like the people on January 6th were treated. And I would even say this now the people, if Trump gets reelected, there will be substantial things happen and they will not receive the similar treatment, because we're in a period of time where your political views are OK for one side and they're not OK for the other, and so we're now doing kind of like political retribution If we don't like you and we're the party in power, we're going to punish you. We can't live in a country like that.
Speaker 1:Yeah, and this is why I'm saying about the decline of this country trying to fight tribalism, all that. This is why I'm saying about the decline of this country trying to fight tribalism. All that because I'm happy for the Braver Angels organization trying to prevent the nation from going for Civil War Part II, which is going to be far more deadlier. Let's be clear with the kind of weapons we got, with the kind of crazy people we got, the original Civil War was really bloody enough. It was really that divisive. We are heading in that direction. I don't want us to head to a Civil War Part 2. It's going to be far more deadlier. The weapons we got will cause much more destruction than we have during the 19th century. No, I don't want to risk that. That's all I'm going to say about that.
Speaker 1:I think it's a good time to do a shameless plug-in. Heard a lot, but things are. They're looking good. They're looking good despite my feeling. It's just my feeling. I'll take it as fact. That's just your host's opinion, okay? Um, you want to criticize the host of feeling? That way, that's fine. Just document your nonsense in the comment section. That's what comment section is there for you to rant and complain? And I might read it when I'm bored not right away when I'm bored, if I don't mind taking the verbal being, which is okay, I already got. I already got a lot of criticism, so let's do that lovely, shameless plug-in.
Speaker 1:So let's go to professional bondsman of texas yes, he represents this great state of texas. And the bail post. Yeah, that's a podcast about criminal justice reforms, bail reforms, rather helping and making things worse. Well, kind of got idea there. But if you want more details, a lot more details you have in this podcast you go to the bail post. The links will be in the description. Okay, the the site for Texas I mean, it'll be great to have a site for all states, Kind of applies to all 50 states and the Bail Post podcast, where you get much deeper into the bail reform. If you're a crime geek, get into that podcast. Okay, if you're a legal geek, get in there. Or if you're just at least curious about these issues, just get in there. Give it a shot. All right, ain't those you want to add before I wrap this up?
Speaker 2:no, I appreciate you so much for talking with me today. I mean, uh, where we were two years ago and where we are today. I mean we've had a lot of uh, great, uh momentum and I think that will continue. I think we will have. I mean, two years ago, the day after the election, everybody said crime was not a big issue when crime actually determined which party controlled the House. I think it will be a bigger issue this time in this election. And I think immigration, the policy of the current party in the White House, I think that's going to come back and probably bite them pretty hard in this election and we'll see. We'll see if abortion negates all that it could, but at some point it'll stop and I think I'm hopeful that this will be the election where people will vote their pockets first, instead of the issue that's been sent back to the state and is no longer an issue for the federal government to address.
Speaker 1:All righty so let's wrap this up. So, from wherever or whenever you decide to listen to this podcast, you have a blessed day, afternoon or night.